Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000729 0.000832 0.000942 0.001067 0.001204 0.001351 0.001518
2025-04-06 0.000559 0.000701 0.000862 0.001058 0.001286 0.001543 0.001853
2025-04-13 0.000460 0.000616 0.000803 0.001038 0.001324 0.001658 0.002072
2025-04-20 0.000406 0.000575 0.000786 0.001061 0.001407 0.001822 0.002351
2025-04-27 0.000360 0.000538 0.000767 0.001076 0.001475 0.001965 0.002604
2025-05-04 0.000313 0.000492 0.000731 0.001064 0.001505 0.002059 0.002795
2025-05-11 0.000271 0.000448 0.000693 0.001044 0.001520 0.002131 0.002959
2025-05-18 0.000246 0.000426 0.000682 0.001058 0.001579 0.002259 0.003194
2025-05-25 0.000222 0.000401 0.000665 0.001060 0.001621 0.002365 0.003403
2025-06-01 0.000191 0.000363 0.000625 0.001028 0.001612 0.002401 0.003518
2025-06-08 0.000165 0.000330 0.000588 0.000998 0.001603 0.002435 0.003629
2025-06-15 0.000149 0.000311 0.000572 0.000995 0.001633 0.002521 0.003811
2025-06-22 0.000134 0.000293 0.000557 0.000995 0.001665 0.002613 0.004007
2025-06-29 0.000119 0.000273 0.000537 0.000985 0.001684 0.002685 0.004176
2025-07-06 0.000104 0.000252 0.000513 0.000966 0.001687 0.002735 0.004314
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000246 0.000514 0.000988 0.001753 0.002876 0.004582
2025-07-20 0.000091 0.000237 0.000511 0.001003 0.001806 0.003000 0.004829
2025-07-27 0.000081 0.000222 0.000493 0.000991 0.001818 0.003063 0.004988
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000205 0.000471 0.000972 0.001817 0.003104 0.005117
2025-08-10 0.000066 0.000199 0.000469 0.000985 0.001868 0.003225 0.005363
2025-08-17 0.000060 0.000190 0.000460 0.000988 0.001901 0.003320 0.005573
2025-08-24 0.000051 0.000173 0.000435 0.000957 0.001878 0.003327 0.005651
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000157 0.000411 0.000929 0.001857 0.003335 0.005730